Thursday, December 27, 2012

Episode 115, You Need a Victory Garden

Shrugging Out is about making progress on two parallel tracks: liberty and self-reliance.

Most of my podcasts of late have dealt with the "liberty" track of Shrugging Out.

This time I take a holiday break from the gathering gloom of today's news to visit the "self-reliance" track.

 In this show I talk about the origins of the "Victory Garden" and discuss some basic questions:

  • Did Victory Gardens really make a difference?
  • What are the basic types of Victory Gardens, and what are the advantages and disadvantages of each?
  • How do you start a Victory Garden? How do you "scale up"?
  • What are the challenges of raising a Victory Garden?
  • What makes having a Victory Garden today so important?
Now is a great time to plan your own Victory Garden, and claim a piece of self-reliance for yourself and your family.

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Episode 114, The Sandy Hook School Shootings

A tragic event, the killing of 20 six-year old children and six adults at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Connecticut. And one that will have significant consequences nationally.

As horrific and heartbreaking as the murder of children and their teachers is, the main significance of this event is the political weapon it provides key parties in the war against guns.

It's no secret that many of "our leaders" do not much care for the second amendment. They deny what it authorizes. Many of them wish that none of us had guns, which is the same as saying that they wish for an America in which only they have guns.

Okay, knowing all that, what will be the immediate and longer-term impact of the Sandy Hook massacre? Will the "assault weapons" ban be reinstated? How about other restrictions? What single action would actually stop school shootings, and why will that action definitely NOT be among those taken? And will this event lead to an attempt to actively confiscate guns already in the hands of citizens?

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Thursday, December 6, 2012

Episode 113, American Tyranny--Soft Now, Hard When?

Many people would deny that there is tyranny today in America. And with good reason.

Why you can watch any TV show you like. You can go to MacDonalds, Burger King, or Popeyes, it's your choice. Comfort fit or slim fit when it comes to blue jeans too. You see, the US of A ain't no one-size-fits-all third-world Hell hole, no sir.

You can even pick which NFL team you like, and you can wear their jersey with pride. Well as long as you avoid them hostile home crowds.

America is just the swellest country on Earth. Everyone knows that.

Oh sure, you have to pay taxes, or you'll go to jail. And some of those taxes, heck, maybe a lot of them, pay for stuff you maybe don't think is such a good idea, and might even someday bankrupt the country, put your kids through the wringer, and all that. But whaddya gonna do? You can't fight city hall.

Besides, neighbor Jones started talkin' bad about the government the other day, and pretty soon those black Suburbans showed up, and then we found out he'd been hanging out with a dome-ess-tick terrorist group. Shocked the heck out of me to hear he was a terrorist. Won't be seein' him around here no more. Good riddance.

Come to think of it, I haven't heard from Uncle Fred in a while. Hope he hasn't been shootin' his mouth off again.

What's that? One of them black Suburban fellers just pulled up out front? No sir, I ain't got any guns, not a one. Well, no, I guess I don't mind if you have a look around. No, that ain't my revolver--you must have put it--now just you wait a minute! I ain't done nothin' wrong! Let go of me! I'm an American!

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Thursday, November 29, 2012

Episode 112, To Secede or not to Secede

Within days of the Great Election, the White House website was deluged with online secession petitions from people in 30 different states.

What is secession? Is it simply "states rights", which has become a code word (or a dog whistle, if you are Chris Matthews) for racism?

Is secession a legal option? Is it a moral choice?

Those are interesting questions, but perhaps more importantly, is secession a practical possibility under today's circumstances? What would happen if, say, Texas, expressed a sincere intent to secede?

If secession by a state or collection of states is impractical under today's pre-Collapse circumstances, what alternatives are available?

 What about secession as an individual act? More practical perhaps?

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Thursday, November 8, 2012

Episode 111, Aftermath of the Great Election

Well, the "Great Election" is over, and guess what? Collectivism as the majority way of life in America was reaffirmed.

This was supposed to be the election where the Individualists stood up and "took the country back" from the Collectivists.

Whether there was any cheating or not, Collectivism in the US enjoys a working majority. It has been winning elections for some time, and it is going to go on winning them for as long as elections are held here under America 1.0 circumstances.

They tell us to, "Suck it bitches, we won." If your reaction to their victory is to lick your wounds and wait for the next election, you deserve whatever happens to you, I'm sorry to say.

Try another approach. Try non-violent non-support of these worthless looters and moochers.

Help bring on America 2.0.

Shrug out.

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Episode 110, Which Way Should You Vote?

Ok, the clock is ticking down on "the most important election in our lifetimes."

Seriously, how can every election be the most important one?

We know what's at stake in this election, don't we? Choose the candidate from party 1A, and we fly off the cliff. Choose the guy from party 1B, and off the same cliff at pretty much the same terminal speed.

So what's the smartest way to use your precious vote, anyway?

Should you vote to hold off The Collapse as long as possible? Or should you vote to encourage it to happen as soon as possible?

Should you vote for the "lesser of two evils"? (And who exactly is that?)

Should you vote for your principles, your conscience?

Should you even vote at all? Doesn't voting just encourage the bastards?

Robama or Obamney? That is the question.

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Episode 109, Which Conspiracy Theories Should You Believe?

Which conspiracy theories do you believe?

Which do you think are a lot of bunk?

And which conspiracy theories put you on the fence, until you learn more?

In this show we have a little bit of fun examining some of the most popular conspiracy theories, and I take a stab at labeling them as true or untrue.

No sacred cows in this podcast. 

One thing I find interesting is that there are a number of conspiracy theories that may not be objectively true, but given what is actually happening in the world around us, they MAY AS WELL BE TRUE, and we should act as if they were.

So bring your own CTs to this podcast as we compare notes on which of these things we believe, which of them we don't, and why.

Tuesday, October 16, 2012

Riders 10, Oxen 1

No podcast for this post, just a picture that pretty much explains itself.

I'm not a huge fan of The Weekly Standard, but they posted a fantastic graphic, which I've adapted for us "Shruggers".

For people who think voting is going to turn this around, remember, voting is what got us into this!

The choice is yours--you can get busy voting, or get busy shrugging.

Thursday, October 11, 2012

Episode 108, Liberty Ridge--An Update

Listeners to this podcast have asked me about the status of Liberty Ridge, the "shrugging out" retreat that my wife and I are fashioning for ourselves out in the country, away from it all.

In this show I go over the "vision" we have for Liberty Ridge, why we are doing what we're doing, what our plan was, and the status against our plan.

Although we have made significant progress, and have achieved some significant milestones, the biggest part of the effort is still in front of us. Once the structures are complete and Liberty Ridge is ready for us to occupy, it will be on us to make it the enjoyable, hard-working and rewarding homestead we envision it to be.

Many people have told me that they have found these podcasts to be inspiring. They say these shows have helped them understand what is happening, and what they can do about them. Many have told me that they've taken concrete steps to "shrug out" of the co-dependency culture that surrounds us.

You could press on with your life as it is today, watching your hard work vanish in the wasteland of EBT cards, Obamaphones, and the Ponzi schemes of Medicare and Social Security. You can ride the collectivist train off the cliff if you want. Or you could stand up and say "No."

You have the power to deny your consent to the collectivism that has engulfed America. There are many ways to shrug out. Your plan could be more elaborate than ours, or much simpler. It all starts with resolve. You don't need much more than that. Choose your own path. Create an option that works for you. Take that first step, and make the commitment to change your life for the better.

Liberty is a choice. The choice is yours.

God bless you and your families.

Saturday, October 6, 2012

Episode 107, What Will Obama's Second Term Bring?

Ok, Romney did well in the first debate. In fact, let's stipulate that he "wiped the floor" with Obama.

I could be wrong, of course, but I remain convinced that Obama will win re-election. The power of the incumbency is strong, especially when the incumbent is so beloved by the major media outlets. A growing plurality of voters depend on government largesse, and a depressingly large slice of the rest think Obama is cool and kind.

I think the glow of Romney's first debate victory will fade. Obama will be much better next time. The fawning media will swoon over Obama's reprise of the original Comeback Kid, Bill Clinton. Obama will win re-election, it says here.

So what will life in America be like under Obama's second term? We re-visit the infamous fictional character "Julia" from Obama's own website for the answers.

What happens to Obama's dear Julia under his second coming? And how different would things be under President Ronmey? Listen to this funny and provocative show and find out.

Thursday, September 20, 2012

Episode 106, Brushfire Plague

Doomsday fiction is the genre, and author R.P. Ruggiero checks in with an action-packed and realistic novel of what happens when a fast-moving and highly-lethal virus overwhelms suburban Portland, Oregon and the rest of the world.

Lots to enjoy here, and lots to learn about prepping too, and how to handle yourself and the situations that unfold when society is breaking down from the effects of a relentless disaster.

Grab a copy of the book and settle in for a great read. Thumbs up!

Rounding out this show is my take on the real and phony news, including Romney's 47% gaffe and the attack on the Libyan embassy. What should we be doing about radical Islam? Not what we are doing, that's for sure.

Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Episode 105. Collectivists Everywhere Are Getting Theirs

I know things are looking a little grim these days, to people in the know, but it's time to take notice of an important fact--collectivists everywhere are receiving their comeuppance.

Collectivists in Greece, Spain, China, and elsewhere have been reaping the temporary benefits of government-committed theft for years, but the end of that enjoyment has either arrived or is just around the corner.

But don't be fooled by the American election, which is once again being touted, tiresomely, as "the most important election in our lifetimes." It isn't the epic struggle between collectivism and individualism that some portray it to be. It's a struggle between hitting the wall at 81 mph (Obama wins) and 78 mph (Obama loses).

Nope, elections won't do much to stop Bullet Train US from hitting the wall at the end of the box canyon. But hitting the wall will shatter the collectivist bonds enslaving us.

There's a time to prep (now) and to act (soon). Just make sure you're ready.

Tuesday, September 4, 2012

A version of Supercollapse by Matt Bracken

No podcast for this posting, just a link to a thoughtful and disturbing scenario described by a favorite author of TSOP, Matt Bracken.

Read this sadly plausible scenario for the breakdown of American society and the deeply unfortunate splitting along racial lines.

A better description of Supercollapse than mine, I think. Posted by Western Rifle Shooters Association, a great blog in its own right.

Bracken's description of what causes the breakdown makes it seem likely. They might be referred to later (or while in progress) as "the EBT Riots", as in triggered when the millions of EBT cards in use today (46 million at last count) stop working.

Read the comments too. Last-minute preps aren't going to help you much if this scenario breaks out anywhere near you. Plan accordingly.

Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Episode 104, Will Paul Ryan Save Us?

Will Paul Ryan save us?

He's for major reform of the entitlement system that's dragging us off the cliff.

He's wonky, he's persuasive, and he's cheerful. And he reminds at least a few people of someone revered in the recent Republican past.

Isn't that just what we need? Isn't he the right man, at the right time?

The Shrugging Out podcast says no. An improvement over Obama, sure. But he's not in the #1 slot on the Republican ticket. And he's not enough, not nearly enough, to stop the train from chugging over the cliff.

Politicians do not make movements. Movements make politicians.

Keep prepping.

Shrug out.

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Thursday, August 2, 2012

Episode 103, Grow Up, the World Isn't Safe

The nation was shocked recently when a heavily-armed gunman wearing body armor and using tear gas opened fire in a crowded movie theater, mowing down dozens of patrons in cold blood.

Well, the nation should stop being shocked by this kind of event. They cannot be stopped. But there are effective counter measures, and I talk about them in this show.

I also read every word of a brilliant essay by Victor Davis Hansen about the deterioration of California, accurately describing the decay of today and forecasting the decay of tomorrow all over America.

And we cover a depressing post entitled, "When They Come For Your Guns, You Will Turn Them Over" and the hopeful and inspirational rebuttal by a Shrugging Out Podcast favorite, The Lizard Farmer.

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Monday, July 16, 2012

Episode 102, Motivation to Shrug Out

Why do you listen to this podcast?

Seriously, what is your interest in shrugging out--and I don't just mean the podcast itself, I mean the act of withdrawing your support from the Dependency Culture, and living a life of greater liberty and self-reliance?

Choosing to shrug out, and following the difficult, life-changing course of shrugging out, will present you with multiple tough decisions. It's not a journey for the faint of heart.

If you have chosen to shrug out, what is your motivation?

In this podcast, I talk about three primary emotional motivations for shrugging out: Fear, Anger, and Happiness.

Fear of the coming Collapse and its consequences. Anger at the moochers and looters of the Dependency Culture and their pals in the government. Both are very real, and potentially powerful motivators.

But only one has long-lasting staying power. Only one will, through all the tough decisions you need to make, prove powerful enough to overcome risk, uncertainty, and your inherent desire to return to normalcy.

Hint: Thomas Jefferson knew all about it. Way back in 1776.

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Thursday, July 5, 2012

Episode 101, What Will the Collapse Really Be Like, Part 2

In the last show I talked about Stages 1 and 2 of The Collapse as I see it unfolding.

In this show, I cover Stages 3 and 4, which I am calling "SuperCollapse" and "Mad Max in America" respectively.

Stage 3, assuming we don't bounce back during Stage 2, will be a harsh, hungry and dangerous world, but it will not lack order. I doubt the order will be provided by a powerful, tyrannical central government. But there will be plenty of tyranny supplied by plenty of groups that are powerful enough to gain local and regional control.

Stage 4 is something none of us want to live through, unless you are some kind of crazed fan of Mad Max with a serious death wish. I don't think we will get to Stage 4, but we could, and it will be Hobbes' "state of nature" on steroids.

I also manage to fit in a diatribe on Obamacare and what it means for it to be "Constitutional" in this episode.

Many thanks to those of you who listen to my show--it is rewarding and humbling to learn that the 100 shows I've recorded since March of 2010 have been helpful, comforting, or even entertaining to so many people, and it inspires me to do 100 more!

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Sunday, July 1, 2012

Episode 100, What Will the Collapse Really Be Like? (Part 1)

I couldn't stop talking in this, my 100th show, so I will be releasing it in two parts.

I have somewhat arbitrarily divided "The Collapse" into four stages.

This show covers the first two stages which I am calling, rather unimaginatively, Pre-collapse and Collapse.

I think stages 1 and 2 are definitely going to happen. Stages 3 and 4 are, in my view, conditional, depending on how deep the collapse goes. Stage 3, Supercollapse, is one big step before stage 4, "Mad Max in America", and these will be the subject of the next show, Episode 100, Part 2.

In each stage I cover a variety of topics including what will happen to:
- Employment
- Money and credit
- Food
- Fuel and utilities
- Medical care
- State and local government
- the Federal government
and other items of interest at each stage of the collapse.

Logic and speculation, combined in the usual TSOP fashion.

How well are you prepared?
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Monday, June 11, 2012

Episode 99, When Is This Puppy Going to Blow?

Time for some speculation, but with a little bit of logic and analysis thrown in as usual on The Shrugging Out Podcast.

Bad news seems to be pouring in from every corner of the globe. Is the "stuff" getting ready to hit the fan? Everyone wants to know when that will be.

Unfortunately, nobody can predict when the Collapse will arrive. In fact, few have even bothered to define what it is.

In this show I offer some basic metrics for distinguishing The Collapse from more ordinary economic downturns.

But being able to say with some confidence, "Yup, this is it!" isn't the same as saying when "It" is about to arrive. So I press on further to speculate what you can look for to determine for yourself when the Collapse is near and that it's time for your final pre-Collapse actions.

As always, please keep in mind that nobody can predict this with any precision. And realize that the Collapse will be a chaotic and dangerous time for us all.

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Monday, May 28, 2012

Episode 98, Staying Safe When the Stuff Hits the Fan

If the stuff really does hit the fan, hard, how will you protect yourself and your family from the violence?

That's really what it comes down to, doesn't it? If the economy and society collapse, what will constrain the formation of violent groups looking to survive? What will keep them from eventually finding you, wherever you are, whether you're hiding out in the city, an anonymous corner of a suburb, or in your rural retreat?

There's a lot of material, some of it good, written elsewhere on the Internet about how to prepare for hard times that include violence. One of the newest and perhaps the best I've read is The Lizard Farmer. In this episode, I give a quick overview of the problem, as TLF sees it, and some of his recommendations.

You just cannot assume that you will be left alone after the SHTF. And staying alive could turn out to be much more complicated than simply defending yourself or your family against an attacker.

Check out The Lizard Farmer. He's been posting great material since April of this year, with a lot more to come, hopefully.

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Monday, May 7, 2012

Episode 97. What is your plan?

What is your plan for surviving the big collapse that is coming?

In the manner customary to how we deal with topics on TSOP, I talk about the art and craft of planning as it applies to preparing for the stuff hitting the fan.

What is planning all about? What are the elements of a sound plan?

In this show I talk about including these important components in your plan:

- Your Goal: What is the "future state" that you want to achieve?

- Current State Assessment: How to analyze your current situation, and why it's important.

- Strategy: Of the basic alternatives you have, what "path" will you take to get from where you are to where you want to be?

- Assumptions: What are you assuming about the world during the execution of your plan. The most important assumption is when you think the stuff will hit the fan, and how bad it will be.

- Timing: What is the tempo, the pace of your plan? What are some intermediate milestones?

- Vulnerabilities and contingencies: What might happen to upset your plan, and how will you handle them? How does your strategy expose you to specific problems that you should guard against or plan to handle?

Throughout this show I use my own plan for TSHTF to give some concrete examples--not that your plan should be my plan, but to help you devise your own plan.

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Monday, April 23, 2012

Episode 96, Stockholm Syndrome for 300 Million People

Pictured: Patty Hearst, the poster child of the Stockholm Syndrome.

We come to love that which we endure. We are such creatures of habit, and we are so prone to accept our circumstances, that over time we become blind to what's really happening, and we fail to realize there are better alternatives.

While I was enduring another TSA grope-fest at the airport the other day, a fellow passenger (fortunately a stranger to me) actually THANKED the agents for checking his bags and bathing him in radiation while photographing his genitals. Not exactly in those terms, but he made it clear, in a loud voice, that he appreciated the glamorless, thankless job they were all doing.

That's the Stockholm Syndrome--the prisoner thanking his jailors.

And I think Stockholm Syndrome describes what has happened to most of us living in America today. We are prisoners of a mindset that long ago learned to tolerate, and has now come to demand, that government do a laundry list of things not just at the expense of our liberties, but at times for the implicit (or explicit) purpose of reducing our liberties.

This mental prison keeps large majorities from accepting free market alternatives to government which would improve our lives immensely. This thinking is so ingrained it is hard to imagine persuading enough people to force a reversal via the ballot box. Fortunately, the upside of the impending collapse is the opening it will provide for us to replace the massively failed American state with what we have begun calling on TSOP "Free America".

Free America will be difficult to achieve. To get there, we need to expand the preparations we are making for the crash. In addition to prepping to survive the crash, we need to use the time left to us to study the alternatives to the coercive monopoly of government.

Our chance is coming to hit the reset button on the American experiment, and bring about the Free America that some of the original founders intended. Your job will be to fight to keep your local community from reflexively rebuilding the old, failed systems. Be the change!

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Sunday, April 15, 2012

Episode 95, Will There be a Boom Before the Crash?

Time to engage in some "contrary thinking" on The Shrugging Out Podcast, mainly just to make sure that we're still thinking!

In the early days of "modern survivalism", prepping for the crash was contrary thinking--few people indeed believed that bad times were coming, and that we should be preparing to survive them.

Nowadays survivalist thinking has become much more prevalent, if not exactly mainstream, marked by the numbers of people, blogs, and even TV shows talking about oncoming hard times and prepping.

In this show, I quote heavily from a very interesting article by Jesse Columbo called "We May be on the Verge of the Next Major Bubble Boom" in which he identifies eight possible economic bubbles that could produce an economic boom before the collapse we are all expecting. His acronym is "CCC ACHES" which stands for:
- China
- Commodities
- Canada
- Australia
- College in the US
- Health care in the US
- Emerging markets, and
- Social media & tech bubble 2.0.

Nobody can predict when the Big Collapse will come, or what will happen between now and the collapse. Columbo's thinking is certainly contrary to the prevailing gloom shared by most of us. He's not suggesting the crash won't come, he's suggesting we may not be finished with short-term "bubble booms" before the Big Collapse finally arrives.

In other words, we can't assume that it is all downhill from here.

History suggests we should respect and occasionally engage in contrary thinking to avoid tunnel vision and stay flexible in the face of uncertainty.

The lesson? Have a plan, and work your plan. But have a Plan B, and maybe a Plan C. And keep paying attention, and thinking about what is actually happening, and what else COULD happen.

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Sunday, March 25, 2012

Episode 94, Constitutional Quizzery

Tom Baugh, the unofficial but favorite essayist of The Shrugging Out Podcast, recently crafted a thought-provoking piece, Constitutional Quizzery.

In the piece, Baugh challenges the notion that what is happening today is contrary to the Constitution. And he produces stark evidence that the oft-proposed remedy to unchecked federal growth, a popular uprising led by a modern-day militia, is actually forbidden by that over-worshipped parchment.

The principles of some of the founders, however, remain valid, of course. Instead of a frontal assault on a federal government whose powers are still growing, Baugh argues again for a more patient strategy of waiting until the leviathan's power is sapped by the upcoming economic and social crash.

My analogy? In June of 1812, Napoleon invaded Russia with almost 500,000 men. The Russians tried to stop him from reaching Moscow, but they could not. They did, however, leave the capitol stripped of food and other supplies desperately needed by Napoleon's Grand Armee', which had spent itself battling its way into Moscow. Forced to retreat in the bitter cold of the Russian winter, by the time Napoleon's army left Russia, only 25,000 men were left.

Is this a better strategy given where we are?

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Monday, March 19, 2012

Episode 93, In the News, Real and Phony

Is the news we hear about every day real, or phony?

A lot of it is phony--the result of the mainstream media trying to control the news cycle, or more often another organization, such as the White House, trying to control the news cycle by using its trusted assistants in the mainstream media.

Controlling the news cycle is about laying down the limits of debate, the guardrails between the allowed spectrum of views. It's also about laying down the smart, hip, modern, and "correct" point of view on the subject at hand.

There are 365 minor news cycles and 52 major news cycles in a year. If you want to shape public opinion, you only need to control a majority of them, especially when a major event such as a presidential election draws near. It's obviously easier to do this when the media are on your side.

In this show we talk about the art and science of propaganda, and we cover a selection of current media topics from the point of view of how they are portrayed by the mainstream media, and perceived by the population. Are they real news, or phony news designed to shape public opinion?

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Saturday, March 10, 2012

Baugh: Constitutional Quizzery

(Just a link, but an important one)

Tom Baugh reminds us that we can't fix the problem until we understand the root cause. Read and consider carefully.

The counter-revolution against 1776 is feasting upon itself. Be patient. Its self-destruction will bring the end more surely than any direct attack.

Withdraw your support for the forces of tyranny. Fashion more liberty and self-reliance for yourself and your family. Dodge the worst, help the people you choose, and be ready. God willing and with our help, Free America will follow.

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Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Episode 92, Doomsday Preppers

Have you seen the Nat Geo cable show, Doomsday Preppers?

When I first heard about it, I thought a couple of things. One, prepping has started to go mainstream. Two, it will make preppers, and preparing for disaster, look stupid.

Well, having seen a half-dozen shows, stupid wins. It's obvious what the show's producers and the Nat Geo brass are hoping for--a big tune in factor from "regular people" who want to feel superior while watching crazy fools do dumb things.

And the show delivers, from the wacky "Party Girl" in Houston (pictured) to the wildly overweight and unfit "Tennessee hillbilly", looking ridiculous putting imaginary bullets through their pet cat's brain stem (Party Girl) and brandishing scary-looking "assault rifles" while guarding remote rural properties (the hillbilly). Oh dear.

The show depicts each prepper in the extreme--people who surely have multiple and overlapping reasons for prepping for TEOTWAWKI are portrayed as one-dimensional kooks with a single overriding fear. And the most extreme fears at that, such as a change in the rotational axis of the Earth causing massive earthquakes, tsunamis, and climate change.

The fact is that some of the people portrayed on the show have perfectly valid reasons for prepping, and absent the out-of-context remarks and visuals deliberately designed to make them look crazy, the show might actually promote reasonable precaution-taking by the Average Joe. But as structured the show will probably just provoke a few laughs and a few eye-rolls before it runs out of gas when it becomes predictably repetitive.

Meanwhile, those of us who have serious concerns will continue to prepare seriously, with an eye towards achieving the liberty and self-reliance promised by the tough road of "shrugging out", and how shrugging out is a "two-fer": You get the self-protection of prepping, and you get more liberty in your life as you distance yourself from the "dependency oxcart" that dominates modern American society.

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Saturday, February 25, 2012

Episode 91, CPX Foxtrot

CPX Foxtrot is a Command Post Exercise, a communications message, that explores the possibility that Opposition Forces, or OpFors will stage a false flag attack on Americans disguised to look like an aggression from Iran, to create circumstances that would justify an attack on Iran by the US. “OpFor” is a term used in the communiqué to describe hostile elements in either our own or a foreign government opposed to the forces of freedom.

An attack on Iran would cause oil prices to skyrocket immediately, and if nothing else happened, that by itself would plunge the US and the rest of the global economy into a serious recession (more serious than the one in progress). And it could trigger further escalations and could even be the catalyst for a cataclysmic war of civilizations, which we would end up calling World War 3.

The text of CPX Foxtrot appears below. I talk about some of the questions posed in the communique, and a few that aren't, including:

- If OpFor were planning to stage a false flag attack on the US in order to justify an attack on Iran, what would OpFor do if it learned that launching the FF attack would trigger countermeasures by FreeFor?

- How might knowing that FreeFor would use the attack as a trigger for action alter the actions of OpFor?

- Is OpFor planning a false flag operation against Americans?

- Taking a step back from the above speculations, what is the answer to this question: Can the FreeFor movement in the US today produce material resistance against OpFor? And what does OpFor think is the answer to that question?

Text of CPS Foxtrot follows.

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Command Post Exercise Foxtrot (CPX Foxtrot)
Discussion of the Hypothetical Use of an OpFor False Flag Attack as a FreeFor Line of Departure
Action Date: 9:00 PM EST on Friday, 24 Feb 2012
Execution Date: (Hypothetical)



Given the current escalating tensions with Iran, and the known history of enemies of liberty in escalating and prompting crises to the detriment of the American people, the possibility of a large-scale or widespread false-flag attack on Americans has become a subject of conversation in FreeFor. A growing theme among liberty oriented persons is as follows: Given that such a false-flag attack would represent a crime of unprecedented magnitude, perpetrated upon thousands of innocent people (perhaps millions if executed with a nuclear weapon of whatever scale), the various diverse and often opposing elements of FreeFor could agree that preventing such an event would be of the utmost importance. The conclusion, well-founded or not, of some informal discussions appears to be the use of such a false-flag event as a common trigger for further action.

The objective of this CPX, then, is to provide a context in which to discuss this approach to assist in disrupting any such false-flag attack which may already be in the planning stages, while simultaneously exercising the capability of the FreeFor to act in concert to execute a multi-phase distributed operation at varying levels of private and public visibility, and across boundaries of interest. In this CPX, the discussion of the merits of the use of such a false-flag attack as a hypothetical FreeFor line of departure for local action plans, without discussing those hypothetical action plans themselves, may accomplish these objectives in a nonviolent way which is non-actionable given the current legal environment.


1. To explore the possibility, credibility and implications of a false-flag threat, including means by which an inadvertent self-sustaining chain reaction of hair-trigger events might be avoided in non-false-flag circumstances.

2. To act as a confidence-building exercise among all elements of FreeFor across areas of interest, including those remaining within the governmental establishment at all levels, by selecting objectives and implementation goals of the widest possible appeal and which pose the minimum element of risk to the FreeFor participants.

3. To assist the remaining elements of FreeFor within the governmental establishment at all levels to disrupt/expose a possible false-flag attack on Americans by causing the hostile (or rogue) planners to reorient to the implications of this CPX, thus causing increased internal chatter subject to traffic analysis or leakage, which, in turn, increases the risk of the false-flag operation to exposure and blowback if executed.

4. To preserve elements of FreeFor from prosecution by limiting discussion to non-actionable hypothetical discussions of the implications of this CPX.

5. To minimize the interpersonal conflict that often mars FreeFor exercises by using multiple veils of anonymity and a deliberate lack of central control or direction.

6. To demonstrate the capability of FreeFor for communications discipline by two communication phases, one prior to the action date, one after.

7. To preserve the anonymity of covert FreeFor participants by masking their activities and greater number within a larger volume of overt participation.

8. To thwart the desires and actions of OpFor hostiles to use the CPX for its own purposes.

9. To use the assets, desires and actions of OpFor hostiles to discover elements of their influence on and penetration of FreeFor.

10. To develop a model of FreeFor exercises which communicate information in a self-disciplined and self-propagating way using various media.


Action Date: The date and time that a planned action is to be implemented. In particular, the action date of this CPX signals the transition of communications about this CPX from private to public means. See also Execution Date.

Covert Participants: FreeFor persons or elements which, for reasons of their own, wish to maintain anonymity.

Execution Date: The date and time at which an important event is to be executed. For the purposes of this CPX, the execution date is purely hypothetical. Within that hypothetical context, the execution date would be the date at which OpFor implements a false-flag attack, or such a false-flag attack is identified as such within a reasonable certainty.

FreeFor: Freedom Forces, which includes any person or group of persons, within or without government, interested in establishing, maintaining, or restoring the rightful place of government as the servant of natural persons along principles embodied in the Declaration of Independence or the Bill of Rights, or other works which promote individual responsibility, liberty and freedom from coercive government, even if not those specific wordings.

Go Code: A pre-arranged signal or event which initiates action.

Hotline: An emergency communication path, whether secured or not, which remains covert prior to use, but which, once used, is likely to be suspect afterward.

Line of Departure: A pre-arranged location or set of circumstances from which operations transition from the preparation phase to the execution phase. Starting execution of a plan is known as "crossing the line of departure".

OpFor: Opposition Forces, typically those hostile elements in domestic or foreign governmental positions opposed to the objectives of FreeFor.

Overt Participants: FreeFor persons or elements which are already well-known to the governmental establishment, and who are taking on little additional risk by participating in this CPX during both the private and public phases.

Private Communication: Any and all exchanges of this CPX and discussions about it which remain limited to peer-to-peer or peer-to-peers (blast) email, voice and personal conversations. Specifically excluded from private communication as defined here are postings on the Internet, blogs, social networking sites, etc.

Public Communication: Any and all exchanges of this CPX and discussions about it using an unrestricted variety of communication media and channels, including, but not limited to, blogs, posted articles, advertisements, flyers, posters, etc.

Specific Actions Requested of Participants

1. Participate in widely disseminating the text of this CPX using communication channels and networks normal and customary to a given participant during the private communication phase as defined below.

2. Participate in widely disseminating the text of this CPX using communication channels and networks normal and customary to a given participant during the public communication phase as defined below.

3. Monitor, to the extent of the individual participant's capability, the emergence of the following, which may indicate potentially disruptive attempts by OpFor elements:

a. Any premature public dissemination of the text of this CPX prior to the action date, as defined below.
b. Any attempt by participants to generate interpersonal hostility or to act as provocateurs to goad creation, revelation or implementation of line of departure plans.
c. Any attempt by participants to transmit or encourage the transmission of the text of this CPX through hotline or other secure channels.



1. That hostile elements within the governmental establishment, through various means of data collection and analysis, already have complete knowledge of this CPX. Accordingly, this CPX is structured in such a way that existing hostile knowledge is not only not harmful, but beneficial to the objectives of the CPX.

2. That these hostile elements desire to act in ways which will disrupt or discredit this CPX, including, but not limited to, provocateurs, misinformation, early triggering and initiation of interpersonal conflict.

3. That these hostile elements will seek to apply traffic analysis to the execution phases of this CPX to both discover previously unknown FreeFor linkages, or discover previously unknown covert participants or confirm suspected covert participants.

4. That FreeFor elements answer to no one, but instead apply their own judgment and discretion in taking or not taking any action. Accordingly, portions of this CPX written in the form of orders are merely suggested as recommendations for unified action.

Operational Principles

I. Phases

1. This CPX is divided into three phases:

a. A private communication phase prior to the action date and time.
b. A public communication phase after the action date and time.
c. A hypothetical execution phase which would commence after the implementation of a false-flag attack by OpFor upon Americans.

2. Although this CPX is assumed to be completely known to hostile forces from inception, division of the CPX into two communication phases allows FreeFor to demonstrate an understanding of communication discipline principles. This two-phase approach also provides multiple opportunities for hostiles to expose themselves through the initiation of early triggering in the private phase, or other disruptive activities in either phase, and in ways which can be detected and noted by FreeFor participants, overt and covert, through passive means and without centralized coordination.

3. The execution phase is purely hypothetical, and discussion of this phase by participants within the context of this CPX is restricted as detailed below for the protection of all FreeFor participants.

II. Private Communication Actions Prior to the Action Date.

1. During the private communication phase, overt participants are encouraged to communicate as widely as possible with other participants, overt or covert, about the content and implications of this CPX using only private communications. To deny hostiles additional information beyond that which they possess prior to this CPX, and for the protection of covert participants, these communications are to use only those linkages which are normal and customary for the participant. Hotline resources are to be specifically prohibited for this CPX in both phases.

2. The private communication phase is to be limited to communication means which lack permanence beyond the control of the individual participants, hostile recording, interception and storage excluded. Email, texting, handwritten notes, phone and personal conversations are examples of private communications. Blogging, tweeting, discussion with media, or posting of the CPX on social media sites, which have a public and stored nature, are specifically excluded during the private communication phase.

3. The sole exception to the use of public communications prior to the action date are teaser mentions of the CPX on public media, and then only by the single and complete phrase "CPX Foxtrot", with no other detail about the CPX content or intentions provided. Those persons inquiring about these mentions of "CPX Foxtrot" should be provided its content during the private communication phase if those persons are within the normal and customary sphere of influence for a given participant.

An example of a public mention during the private communication phase is a blogger or commenter posting text similar to the following:

"And be sure to participate in CPX Foxtrot."
"Remember, CPX Foxtrot is coming up."
"Are you ready for CPX Foxtrot? I am."

If a prospective participant then asks about details for the CPX, other participants should provide the prospect with the CPX using private communications if that prospect is within the normal and customary reach of the provider. If not, then an appropriate response would be:

"Thanks for asking about that. Ask someone you know about CPX Foxtrot. If they don't know, ask them to ask. When you get CPX Foxtrot, you will know why it has to be this way."

Examples of providing the text of this CPX to others within the normal or customary scope of FreeFor communications include:

"A friend sent this to me. It is an interesting concept that probably should be discussed further."
"I am concerned that this idea might have unintended negative consequences. Worth a read."

4. The lack of public storage of the CPX Foxtrot details during the private communication phase will assist in not only generating additional teaser interest in the CPX, but will also make it easier for specific covert FreeFor assets to identify potential hostile infiltrants during the private communication phase. If in doubt, don't post. Also, do not assist hostile traffic analysis by providing details of the CPX beyond those prospective participants with which you normally and customarily communicate. Avoid being ensnared by hostile fishing expeditions.

5. Prospective participants are to be treated with respect and encouraged. An "us-versus-them", or "clique" mentality is to be avoided at all times by all FreeFor participants. FreeFor participants are also encouraged to apply their own traffic analyses to identify potential hostile provocateurs attempting to disrupt the CPX through the incitement of interpersonal discord or discouragement of prospects.

6. During the private communication phase, the text of this CPX is to be distributed as text attachments (word-wrap off) where practical, or as inserted or printed text otherwise. Other file formats, such as PDFs or DOCs, contain tagging information which reveals personal information or transmits viruses.

7. Within these restrictions, then, during this phase the CPX should be distributed as widely as possible, encouraging the recipients to in turn widely distribute, in chain letter fashion, to ensure as large a participation as possible on the action date.

III. Public Communication Actions On or After the Action Date

1. All participants are encouraged to publicly post the CPX content simultaneously on the action date and time in as many media, blogs, etc. as possible. Original postings with the CPX content, or with the CPX text content attached where possible, are more desirable rather than chain-linking back to a single source blog.

2. During the public communication phase, exposure of the CPX content is encouraged on all communication forms without restriction, other than the hotlines as discussed previously, which are not to be used for the purposes of this CPX at any time. An intention is to create as wide a historical Internet footprint as possible, as well as expose means and personnel by which hostiles attempt to minimize this footprint over time.

3. During the public communication phase, this CPX can be distributed in any form or file format.

IV. Principles During Either Communication Phase

1. A critical component of this CPX is ongoing discussion by participants of the implications of this CPX during either communication phase. However, for the protection of the FreeFor participants, discussion of the execution phase is to be limited to hypothetical discussions of the political/other implications should FreeFor use an OpFor false-flag attack as a line of departure for other covert plans which may or may not be under development. Specifically prohibited as part of this CPX is the initiation, discussion or exploration of such plans. All participants should be alert for potential hostiles who may try to use this CPX to discover or incite specific planning for line of departure actions within the context of this CPX.

Examples of acceptable discussions within the context of this CPX include:

"Is OpFor planning a false-flag, and if so, would the possibility of that as a line of departure for FreeFor be likely to disrupt those plans?"
"How might OpFor use crossing of the line of departure to its own ends, and how might that be mitigated?"
"How might inadvertent triggering of the execution phase be avoided for legitimate emergencies?"
"What effect does the existence of CPX Foxtrot have on the police? On the military?"
"How might FreeFor identify a false-flag so that it can be used as a valid go-code? Would the rapid availability of "perfect knowledge" be a tipoff?"
"Does even the discussion of this CPX have a disruptive effect on OpFor?"
"What other CPXs might we develop to continue to disrupt OpFor?"
"What benefits does FreeFor derive from exercises like CPX Foxtrot and how can we amplify that effect?"
"Outside a false-flag attack by OpFor, what other signals might FreeFor pay attention to?"
"How can FreeFor overt participants use OpFor infiltration and disruption policies and procedures to assist hostiles in exposing themselves to covert FreeFor participants?"
"How can FreeFor use traffic analysis and other techniques to hamstring the actions of OpFor by making them depart from establish procedures and thus resort to error-prone improvised operations?"

Examples of unacceptable discussions within the context of this CPX include:

"What are you planning to do when crossing the line of departure?"
"What should I do when crossing the line of departure?"
"I know a guy/place where you can get X, Y, or Z illegal things to help implement this plan."
"Who do you know who might cross the line of departure?"

There is a certain amount of subjectivity as to the dividing line between acceptable discussions within the context of this CPX, and discussions which are specifically outside the context of this CPX. It is expected that OpFor will use provocateurs to attempt to goad participants into unacceptable discussions. CPX participants who stray beyond this imaginary line should be gently and respectfully encouraged to review the CPX. FreeFor participants who have been so admonished should exercise diligence in withdrawing to a suitable degree to illustrate their intentions, again, with due respect to all participants. In this way, we create an environment in which hostile provocateurs have ample opportunity to expose themselves, by violating either side of respectful admonishment.

Remember at all times, the discussion of the implications and practicality of a line of departure crossing in response to a false-flag is the topic of this CPX, not those line of departure plans themselves.

2. Participants are encouraged to remember that the rules of interpersonal conduct are merely for the purposes of this CPX, and that normal interpersonal squabbles are to continue unabated outside of this CPX.

3. Within the CPX itself, all participants should be alert to potential hostiles who insist on remaining outside its rules. Detection of potential hostiles who have infiltrated FreeFor is a key objective of this CPX as it uses OpFor's existing policies and personnel limitations to the benefit of FreeFor.

V. Ongoing Actions

1. Participants in CPX Foxtrot are encouraged to continue to promulgate this CPX and its discussions on an ongoing basis. There is no termination date.

2. Participants in CPX Foxtrot are encouraged to use the term "CPX Foxtrot" as a signal at any time in the future to crack through interpersonal squabbles when discussing the premise of this CPX, which is the hypothetical crossing of the FreeFor line of departure in response to a false-flag attack upon Americans by OpFor.

3. Participants in CPX Foxtrot are encouraged to use this template to generate their own CPXs in the future. An objective of this CPX is to improve upon the techniques employed here to inculcate and evolve, over time, a credible counterforce to unrestricted hostile action upon FreeFor.

Hypothetical Frequently Asked Questions About CPX Foxtrot

Q1. Why should this CPX be transmitted in text form?
A1. Simple text form is immune to transmission of viruses and other detrimental side-effects. In addition, simple text lacks any potential identifying information.

Q2. Why should this CPX not be transmitted using secure or hotline channels?
A2. Two reasons. First, to deny OpFor knowledge of the existence, nature or scope of such channels. Second, a common means to break encryption is to encourage the transmission of a known plaintext through a given secure channel, followed by comparison to the resulting ciphertext.

Q3. Why is the CPX divided into private and public communication phases?
A3. Several reasons. First, as a confidence builder and to generate a sense of esprit de corps among the participants. Second, to force OpFor to remain dormant during the private communication phase, or else risk exposing some of their covert assets. This alone requires that OpFor react to FreeFor initiative, causing elements of OpFor to recognize their lack of omnipotence which plants the seeds in their minds of the potential consequences of failure of false-flag missions. Finally, to assist in generating interest in this CPX by teaser mentions of "CPX Foxtrot" during the private communication phase without the text being publicly available until later in the private communication phase.

Q4. Why is it acceptable, or even desirable, to publicly mention "CPX Foxtrot" during the private communication phase?
A4. As mentioned above, to generate interest by teaser mentions.

Q5. Why is interpersonal conflict to be carefully monitored in the context of this CPX?
A5. A common OpFor disruptive tactic is to generate interpersonal conflict. However, to avoid exposing their assets, all participants, including OpFor elements, must maintain decorum, which once again forces OpFor to play by FreeFor rules.

Q6. Why was the false flag selected as the topic of this CPX?
A6. This topic was selected because of the timely current interest in potential false flag operations given the growing tensions with Iran.

Q7. Won't I be exposing my network of contacts by sending this CPX?
A7. OpFor has likely already mapped the normal network of contacts by each potential CPX participant. This CPX specifically requests participants to only send this CPX to those already in that participant's normal and customary FreeFor discussion paths, thus denying OpFor information about potential "emergency" communication paths.

Q8. Could this CPX be labeled as an anti-government conspiracy?
A8. Given the lack of attention to law, justice and ethics by elements of the government today, anything could be considered illegal. However, as long as the First Amendment is presumed to have any relevance, this CPX merely encourages participants to discuss the implications of a FreeFor crossing of the line of departure in response to a false flag, rather than encouraging participants to actually perform such actions. In fact, participants are specifically requested to forego the latter discussions in the context of this CPX as a means of detecting potential OpFor provocateurs.

Q9. Isn't this CPX equivalent to yelling "fire" in a crowded theater? Could it not trigger crazies in response to any perceived false flag?
A9. This CPX doesn't introduce the concept of crossing the line of departure in response to a false flag, it merely encourages the discussion of this concept, which already exists in the public space. One of the objectives of this CPX is to discuss potential unintended consequences of such a policy, and this is beneficial to reducing the possibility of such undesirable triggers. Stated differently, discussing the implications of yelling "fire" in a crowded theater is not the same thing as actually yelling "fire" in a crowded theater, nor is it encouraging anyone to do so.

Q10. During the private communication phase, is it acceptable to store this text on my website, and then link to that text in private emails?
A10. No. Storing this text on a web server makes it subject to being swept up by a search engine spider, and then appearing in search results. This would violate the intention of the private communication phase, which is to prevent search engines from reporting the full text of the CPX during this phase. Once the public communication phase begins, then this form of storage is an acceptable option.

Q11. If OpFor already has knowledge of this CPX and potential participants, what is to be gained by the private communication phase?
A11. As mentioned previously, to demonstrate, both to FreeFor and to OpFor, the capability to perform a decentralized operation as well as to provide an opportunity for interested covert elements of FreeFor to participate in uncovering OpFor moles.

Q12. If OpFor already has knowledge of the authors of this CPX, why keep their identities concealed?
A12. To minimize the negative effect of personality conflicts within FreeFor which might interfere with the success of this CPX.

Q13. Isn't the use of "OpFor" creating deliberate conflict with the government?
A13. This CPX is not anti-government. This CPX is, however, intended to disrupt the actions of intra-governmental or extra-governemental actors who exceed, or who might conspire to exceed, their lawful authority, while supporting those remaining elements of FreeFor within government who perform their duties within lawful bounds.

Q14. What if this CPX itself is a probing attempt by OpFor?
A14. As mentioned previously, it is presumed that OpFor already has knowledge of FreeFor participants, particularly those who are active on the Internet. However, no prospective participant should feel, or be made to feel, any obligation to participate. Instead, such passive, or covert, participants also serve a role by assisting in watching the progress and actions of other particpants and forming their own conclusions.

Q15. This CPX has some errors and portions could be written better. Should I improve it?
A15. No. One of the roles of some covert FreeFor participants is to detect at which nodes the CPX has been altered. If a participant chooses to pass the CPX text along, it should be done with no modifications. If it must be pasted into email, please paste from the first character through to the last, with no intervening comments inserted.

Monday, February 20, 2012

Episode 90. Judge Napolitano's Show Is Cancelled--Why?

Fox Business Network announced last week that they were canceling Judge Napolitano’s show, Freedom Watch. That’s not how they put it, of course, but that’s the result.

Judge Napolitano is the libertarian commentator who became popular over the past decade due to his appearances on Fox News. Why did they cancel his show, and what does it mean? Did they cancel it for his views, or his ratings?

In this week's phony news, the news that doesn't matter, we have the latest GOP primaries, the battle between President Obama and the Catholic Church, and the tragic death of pop icon Whitney Houston.

In this week's real news, the news that matters, the Greek budget crisis is coming to a head, the FBI issues a warning about anti-government extremists, and the FAA is directed to make room in the skies for drone aircraft. Pay attention to these items, they're important.

Sunday, February 5, 2012

Episode 89, An Analysis of the Spectrum of Threats We Face

We've talked a lot about the coming crash of the Dependency Culture and the economically unsustainable levels of debt it has created. And that is the main reason why we are prepping for unprecedented times of great hardship for the nation and the world.

But economic catastrophe isn't the only kind of disaster that could befall some or all of us. Other forms of disaster, personal or global, are possible too.

In this show, I examine the spectrum of threats that we face, in terms of their probability and their impact, and how they should affect your preparations.

There is a small subset of these threats that pretty much cover the basic preps you should be making. They include job loss, a weather event that takes out electrical power to your home and neighborhood for a week or more, and violent crime. Learn why studying the impact of these threats can help you be prepared for these and many other disasters that could happen to you.

And be sure to participate in the upcoming CPX Foxtrot!

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Sunday, January 22, 2012

Episode 88, Why The Election Won't Matter Very Much

The quadrennial presidential circus is fully underway, and a lot of people, as usual, are caught up in it.

In this show I talk about why this election is a waste of your time and everyone else’s. And it’s actually worse than a waste of time, because it diverts our attention from the things that truly should have our attention.

Sure, the re-election of President Obama would be worse than electing almost anybody else, including the slate of remaining (or potential) Republican candidates. But only marginally worse.

The election won't matter much because:
- Both parties love big government.
- Both parties support the Patriot Act, and the National Defense Authorization Act.
- Neither party is going to end Social Security, Medicare, or the rest of the welfare state.
- Whoever is elected will have the barest majority, no mandate to slash the size and cost of government.
- The gap between government income and spending is too great, and spending is locked in BY LAW to increase over time.
- The President, even in the modern incarnation as "serially-elected monarch", can only do so much.
- The U.S. is an "ineptocracy".
- The "burning platform" is obvious to a small minority of people.
- We are in a generational phase of "screw your neighbor (before he screws you)."
- The problem is too big for a politically-driven system to solve.

Why would a President Romney, or a President Gingrich, President Santorum, or even President Ron Paul be extremely fortunate to simply halt the acceleration of the runaway train we're all riding? Find out in this episode.

And don't let the irrelevance of the election depress you. Get working on other priorities. Free yourself from the oxcart of dependency. Shrug out!
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Sunday, January 8, 2012

Episode 87. Will 2012 be "The Year"? (of the big collapse)

Every year, people make predictions about what is going to happen.

But the timing of the collapse we're expecting is uncertain, so firm predictions of what will happen AND WHEN are perhaps foolhardy.

Events today are continuing inexorably on the direction towards eventual collapse. You should act accordingly.

You have a choice. You can accept the tax and debt slavery proferred to you today. Or you can attain more liberty and self-reliance by "shrugging out" of the chains that modern society works so hard to keep you from noticing.

The greatest thing about shrugging out is that it is not only a positive way of freeing yourself from the "Dependency Culture's" oxcart, but it is also the most effective means for you to protect yourself and your family from the collapse that is coming. Two birds with one stone: More of the liberty and self-reliance we are supposed to enjoy, and a measure of protection from the catastrophe that will alter the lives of billions of people.

What will happen to you in 2012 depends on you! Resolve today to become more free, more self-reliant.

You don't have to accept the cards you've been dealt. Shrug out!
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